promotion image of download ymail app
Promoted
Anonymous
Anonymous asked in Science & MathematicsMedicine · 2 months ago

What are your chances of getting COVID-19?

The US currently has 332,993 confirmed cases of Corona virus infections as of 2019 GMT* on April 5.  The last US population estimate was 329.45 million.  This comes to 0.101% of the population has been infected.  The number of deaths as of 2019 GMT was 9528 out of 332,993 cases which comes to a 2.86% mortality rate, with the vast majority of the deaths being individuals with underlying health issues.  Is this reason to panic?

*12 minutes ago.

11 Answers

Relevance
  • Anonymous
    2 months ago
    Favorite Answer

    My chances are excellent, as I'm a nurse in a hospital with covid-19 patients and we're very short of masks, disinfectant wipes and the like. The past three times I've worked, I've had no mask of any kind. I had no covid-diagnosed patients assigned to me, but I did have a hacking cougher, one with pneumonia, and one so sick in so many ways that he actually died before my shift ended.

    I'm hardly "panicked", but I am concerned. I've been doing this for 10 years and dealt with all sorts of infectious people, but I've never seen doctors and nurses becoming infected themselves, and then dying. Not even a small percentage. Not even the elderly or chronically ill.

    Edit: I work in Southern California, Orange County. I haven't been to work in about a week and a half, and I'm hoping more supplies come in before I go back. My hospital has a limited amount of supplies, so they're only allowing a single mask per shift IF you have a patient diagnosed and on isolation precautions. I did find a small box of expired (2018) surgical masks in my cupboard from when my son was a baby and I had a cold. I'll use that next time I work is nothing else in available.

    • A Hunch
      Lv 7
      2 months agoReport

      Where do you work that your community has not corrected the problem of the shortage of masks?  Call your doctors/dentists with very limited hours right now and see if you can get a couple of boxes of masks for your shifts.  Make your own facemasks with vacuum cleaner bags.

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • 2 months ago

    There are far too many factors. 

    Does everyone in the US live in the same climate, within the same population density, are in contact with people who are infected, have the same health? Risk  is lower for those taking precautions seriously, but you can never be too safe. Limit your chances.

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • 2 months ago

    Pretty good, if I come into contact with someone with it, since it is highly contagious.

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • 2 months ago

    yes, the virus spread is exponential. that means it doubles every few days

    the actual number of cases is much much higher than the confirmed ones because of under testing and not including asymptomatic or mild cases.. so the chances of contracting the disease is much higher and will continue to rise in the coming weeks.. on the other hand the chances of dying probably are less than 2% .. exactly for the same reason (not including mild cases in data)

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • How do you think about the answers? You can sign in to vote the answer.
  • 2 months ago

    What form would panic take?  I can't see how that would help.  Being concerned and implementing every hygiene and isolation recommendation in a calm fashion would be wise, though.  My answer would be the same if the numbers were 10 times that.

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • 2 months ago

    Yes, it's reason to panic. Because what's important isn't the number so far, it's the rate of increase. Even if it was just 1 two days ago, just 2 yesterday, and just 4 today, that would mean that would be 8 tomorrow, 16 the next day, then 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, 1024, 2048, 4096, 8192, 16384, 32768, 65536, 131072, 262144, 524288, 1048576, 2097152, 4194304, 8388608, 16777216, 33554432, 67108864, 134217728, 268435456, and that's over half the country in less than a month.

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • 2 months ago

    It is if you are one of the 20 million who are over the age of 80, and the 19 million of working age (19-64) who have a disability and the unknown number of working age people who don't have a disability but do have underlying health conditions and, oh yeah, the 30 million who are age 65-79.

    69 million people who are at much greater risk is 21% of the population.

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • Anonymous
    2 months ago

    < The US currently has  >

    Currently has is the key phrase.  It wasn't even a week ago we broke the 100,000 figure.  if we didn't do anything, business as normal in other terms, likely 1/3 at least of the US population would have gotten it given how contagious it appears to be.  3% of 100 million people is 3 million people, potentially over a relatively short time frame.

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • Anonymous
    2 months ago

    Quite high for me considering I live in the Tri State area and I have COPD .

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
  • 2 months ago

    If there are currently 332993 confirmed cased of Covid-19, then it's estimated that there are about 1.7M actual cases of Covid-19.

    It is a reason to panic?  If you are in NY/NJ which has seen close to 2/3rds of all US deaths, the hospitals are overfilled and the medical community is in crisis?  "panic" might not be the word for it, but you are more than stupid if you think it's there isn't something to be worried about.

    If you are in NV, where due to it being a "desert island" they have been able to flatten the curve to almost non-existent.  During this time they need to create their infrastructure so that when safe at home guidelines are loosened, casinos re-open and travel begins, they need to be ready for the uptick in cases that is likely to follow. 

    • Commenter avatarLogin to reply the answers
Still have questions? Get your answers by asking now.